NFL futures bets: Most passing yards in 2023 season

Two bets in this market

Justin Herbert: +700

Herbert has been oh-so-close in this market, as we mentioned above. The runner-up for most passing yards in two straight seasons, 2023 seems like a terrific opportunity for the Chargers passer to get over the hump and top the league in yards.

The Chargers were second to the Buccaneers last season for highest percentage of pass plays called, and that figures to remain their philosophy heading into the new season.

Los Angeles added to the wide receiver room in the first round of the 2023 draft, selecting TCU wide receiver Quentin Johnston, a 6-foot-4 speedster who can be a dangerous weapon down the field and with the ball in his hands.

Johnston joins a group that already has Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Josh Palmer and Jalen Guyton, plus Gerald Everett and Austin Ekeler, the latter of whom is one of the best pass-catching backs in football.

If Herbert’s weapons can all stay healthy, this Chargers offense will be lethal through the air, making the Los Angeles quarterback our favorite choice to lead the NFL in passing yards next season.

Aaron Rodgers: +2200

Rodgers isn’t inside the top 10, but who doesn’t love a value play? The precedent has been set that to win this market, you likely need to surpass 5,000 passing yards, and in that respect, Rodgers has some ground to cover, as his previous season-high was 4,653 back in 2011.

There’s reason to like the value on Rodgers, however. The Jets brought the former MVP into the fold for one reason: milk every ounce of football he has left in a bid to win the Super Bowl.

It feels very reminiscent of Tom Brady in Tampa Bay, who averaged 4,881 passing yards per season in his three years with the Buccaneers.

The Jets already have a prevalence for passing in their offensive game plan that suggest the volume necessary for Rodgers to have a huge statistical season is realistic.

Last season, New York was sixth in the NFL in passing attempts, and they were fourth in passing play percentage, throwing the football on 62.3% of their offensive plays. With that structure here, and talented pass catchers aiding a big Rodgers year, this is a bet we like.