Philippines pitches GBA gateway as Polymarket Taiwan invasion odds slip to 14.5%
At the GBA-Asean Summit 2026 in Hong Kong, Philippine trade secretary Cristina Aldeguer-Roque said Manila aims to be a gateway...
prediction markets
Fetterman–McCormick dodge Shapiro as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 91.5%
At a Pennsylvania “Great American State Fair” booth, senators John Fetterman and Dave McCormick shared a stop while sidestepping questions...
Drone hits raise Russia strain; Polymarket sees 11.5% chance Putin exits by 2026
As the war entered its fifth year, Ukraine’s drone campaign set a major oil refinery in southern Russia on fire,...
Vucic resignation plan lifts Polymarket odds of Putin exit to 12.5%
At a pro-government rally in Belgrade, Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic said he intends to resign within the next few weeks,...
US strikes, Trump vow sink Polymarket Jul15 Hormuz normalization odds to 13.5%
Fresh U.S. military strikes coincided with former President Donald Trump warning he would “complete the job” in Iran, heightening escalation...
Zelensky sets NATO agenda as Polymarket puts Crimea recapture odds at 12.5%
Ahead of the NATO summit in Ankara, President Volodymyr Zelensky said Ukraine will prioritize air defense, energy resilience, EU integration,...
Bitcoin slips under $60K as Polymarket pegs 80% odds of 0 Fed cuts in 2026
A broad selloff pushed Bitcoin below $60,000, wiping out about $1 billion as losses spread across major tokens. (Read More)
Iran vows Hormuz control as Polymarket prices 75.5% odds traffic stays abnormal
After talks with Washington in Switzerland ended, Iran said it will keep administering the Strait of Hormuz and that conditions...
Trump cites Reflecting Pool vandalism as Polymarket keeps Starmer at 82.5%
Washington’s Reflecting Pool will be drained after Donald Trump again blamed vandalism for bright green algae and peeling paint, citing...
Hyperliquid’s $10B open interest coincides with growth in equity-linked markets: Talos
Hyperliquid’s $10 billion open interest milestone shows growing demand for onchain equities and commodities trading with 24/7 accessibility, according to...
The Right’s “Election Fraud” Cry for Midterms Previewed in Primaries
On Tuesday night, oyster farmer and combat veteran Graham Platner overwhelmingly sailed to victory in the Democratic Senate primary in...
