Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons Week 13 betting guide

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-3) face the Atlanta Falcons (5-6) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium for Week 13 of the NFL. Let’s take a look at the betting lines for Sunday’s matchup. The Buccaneers are favored to win at -500, currently marked as 10.0-point favorites, while the Falcons are at +375. The total points line is set at 51.0, with OVER at -106 and UNDER at -115.

The Buccaneers have a 5-6-0 ATS record this season, while the Falcons hold a record of 4-6-1.
The Buccaneers have a 6-5-0 O/U record this season (meaning six games have gone over the total points line and five have gone under). The Falcons have a 5-6-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

The Buccaneers are averaging 31.5 points per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Falcons are averaging only 18.1 (T27th).
Defensively, the Buccaneers are giving up only 23.0 points per game this season (T16th in the league), while the Falcons are giving up an average of 27.5 points (31st).

Moving the chains

With an average of 401.7, the Buccaneers rank 3rd in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Falcons rank 26th with just 310.5 yards per game.
In terms of yards allowed, the Buccaneers are giving up 328.5 per game this season (8th in the league), outperforming the Falcons, who are giving up an average of 361.8 (22nd).

Ascendency in the air

The Buccaneers have recorded 305.9 passing yards per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Falcons’ defense has given up 236.9 passing yards per game (14th).
Meanwhile, the Falcons have recorded 225.5 passing yards per game this season (19th in the league), while the Buccaneers’ defense has given up 247.5 passing yards per game (20th).

Advantage on the ground

Looking at the ground game, the Buccaneers have recorded 95.8 rushing yards per game this season (23rd in the league). Conversely, the Falcons are giving up 124.9 rushing yards per game (T23rd).
On the other hand, the Falcons have recorded 85.0 rushing yards per game this season (30th in the league), while the Buccaneers are giving up 81.0 rushing yards per game (1st).

Protecting the ball

Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Buccaneers have recorded 23 total takeaways this season (4th in the league), while the Falcons have failed to perform at the same level, recording 11 (T25th).
On offense, the Buccaneers have recorded 15 total giveaways this season (T15th in the league), bettering the Falcons’ number of 18 (T25th).

First to Score

The Buccaneers are -186 to score first, while the Falcons are +150.

The Buccaneers have scored first in seven of their 11 games this season.
The Falcons have scored first in six of their 11 games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Buccaneers have recorded the first touchdown in eight of their 11 games this season.
The Falcons have recorded the first touchdown in six of their 11 games this season.

First Scoring Play

Tampa Bay Touchdown 6 / 11 +125

Tampa Bay Field Goal 1 / 11 +340

Tampa Bay Safety 0 / 11 +8000

Atlanta Touchdown 1 / 11 +390

Atlanta Field Goal 5 / 11 +390

Atlanta Safety 0 / 11 +8000

Which team will get a quick start?

The Buccaneers are -275 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Falcons are +215.

The Buccaneers and Falcons have each been the first to score 10 points in six of their 11 games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Buccaneers are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -256, while the Falcons are +205.
The Buccaneers have a 5-3-3 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Falcons hold a record of 4-6-1.

Last Time They Met

The Buccaneers recorded a 48-25 victory over the Falcons at Raymond James Stadium when these teams last met in Week 2, 2021. Tom Brady torched the Falcons in that matchup, finishing with 276 passing yards and 5 touchdown passes.